BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Penn State
Class: 1A Class Rank: 10 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength = 98.16
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/04/2021 Away W * 105.54 16 10 1A 11 ( 8- 4) Wisconsin 8.91 -2.91
2 09/11/2021 Home W 104.27 44 13 1A 96 ( 6- 6) Ball St 7.64 23.36
3 09/18/2021 Home W 99.23 28 20 1A 33 ( 6- 6) Auburn 2.60 5.40
4 09/25/2021 Home W 102.47 38 17 1B 10 ( 9- 2) Villanova 5.84 15.16
5 10/02/2021 Home W * 97.48 24 0 1A 97 ( 2- 10) Indiana 0.84 23.16
6 10/09/2021 Away L * 92.98 20 23 1A 27 ( 10- 2) Iowa -3.65 0.65
7 10/23/2021 Home L * 78.83 18 20 1A 64 ( 5- 7) Illinois -17.80 15.80
8 10/30/2021 Away L * 102.50 24 33 1A 2 ( 10- 2) Ohio State 5.87 -14.87
9 11/06/2021 Away W * 99.89 31 14 1A 85 ( 6- 6) Maryland 3.25 13.75
10 11/13/2021 Home L * 96.78 17 21 1A 4 ( 11- 1) Michigan 0.15 -4.15
11 11/20/2021 Home W * 105.54 28 0 1A 77 ( 5- 7) Rutgers 8.90 19.10
12 11/27/2021 Away L * 92.41 27 30 1A 21 ( 10- 2) Michigan St -4.22 1.22
Averages 98.16 26.2 16.8
Best game: 105.54 = 6 point win over Wisconsin
Worst game: 78.83 = 2 point loss to Illinois
Team stdev: 7.53